As a beginner, I have a chicken-and-egg type question.
It's a very valid question.
In general, if I have a shaft and matching hole to machine, is it better practice to make the hole first and machine the shaft to fit, or the other way around?
The best way, for interchangeability, conformity, and just plain being proper, is to make the shaft to the nominal dimension, and the hole would be over or undersized to get the proper oil clearance, free fit, snug fit, press fit, whatever you're after.
In practice, if none of the above is going to be an issue, it's easier (more certainty, less chance of scrapping a part) to do just the opposite. Make the hole to size, and then "fit" the shaft to it. By doing it that way, the hole can be "gauged" by a simple plug (of about any material), which is far more approachable than having the tooling to make a polished bore and the metrology to nail that down to tenths. Doing the shaft at that point becomes a simple addition of outside measurements. (Whatever the press fit test plug comes out to be, plus the desired interferance).
The shaft will be a loose press fit (I think that's the right term...or maybe interference fit).
Interference fit is the proper name. Press fit is the common name. Same/Same.
This is for a hand operated device, so nothing in it spinning at blinding speeds which might cause a catastrophic failure. In case that matters.
If the press fit is solid, it really doesn't care (within reason) about whether the actual finished diameter of the finished inside/outside dimension (which will be the same at that point), as a few thousandths above or below nominal won't be anything that (in the home shop) could ever be worked out and counted on, as it'll be lost in the noise with all the other inefficiencies or home shop production. So if it's 3/4 inch nominal for example, it doesn't care if the finished "joint" comes out with a 0.748 diameter or a 0.752 diameter, as the material probably wasn't properly pedigreed anyhow, so you can't bank on it's material properties to enough decimal points to have that make a difference. If it was a 1/4 inch nominal assembly, and the hole came out undersized at 0.200 instead of 0.250, and you undersized the shaft to fit that hole.... Now you're talking about a problem. But so long as you keep the percentage of deviation small, zero mechanical worries and so long as it's a one and done part, with no interchangeable parts involved, there's no social or moral issues with doing it "backwards". It's much more efficient (in a home shop) to do it that way.